2017 US Independence Day Impact on Retail

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KEY POINTS

  • According to the NRF annual survey conducted by Proper Insights and Analytics, 219 million Americans will celebrate the 4th of July holiday this year.
  • Spending on food for the holiday is estimated at $7.1 billion, which is up 4.4% from 2016.
  • More than 66% of people surveyed reported that they will attend a cookout or barbecue, about 44% will attend fireworks and nearly 14% will travel for the holiday.
  • The average household will spend $73.42 on food for cookouts and barbecues.

2017 US Independence Day Retail Impact

According to the National Retail Federation’s (NRF) 2017 Annual Independence Day Survey conducted by Prosper Insights & Analytics, more Americans plan to celebrate Independence Day this year than last year. Total spending for the holiday is estimated at $7.1 billion, up 4.4% from last year. Whether it is due to the expected nice weather or favorable gas prices, the survey estimates that 219 million people plan to celebrate July 4th this year.

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The average household estimates it will spend $73.42 on food for cookouts and barbeques, up from last year’s average of $71.34. Among those surveyed, 65.5% plan to attend barbecues, 43.6% are going to attend fireworks or a community celebration and 13.5% plan on going to a parade.

The 4th of July is a busy time for travel and vacations, and an estimated 13.3%, or 33 million people, plan to head out of town this year. With gasoline prices low, only 18% said gas prices will impact their travel plans. This is down from 21% last year and down from a peak of 59% in 2008, when gas prices were much higher.

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There has been an increasing trend in the popularity of patriotic merchandise for the July 4th holiday. In 2009, 60% of survey respondents said they owned a flag; this increased to an estimated 65% in 2017, a 5-percentage point increase. In addition, the percentage of respondents who own patriotic apparel rose from 45% in 2009 to 53% in 2017.

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Shoppers’ Planned Purchases

About 28% of Americans plan to purchase additional patriotic merchandise over the next 30 days. Some 39% of Americans said they did not plan to purchase additional items, and 34% said they were not sure. Figure 4 highlights consumer holiday spending trends, and shows that July 4th spending ranks just behind Halloween spending.

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To conclude, Independence Day offers a great opportunity for retailers to boost their sales. They should seize the momentum of holiday spending with more directed marketing campaigns and discounts to attract customers, especially during a particularly difficult year in the industry.